News: 26 February 2024
It’s been a busy full year reporting season. The latest data from Factset shows that 79% of the S&P 500 have released results and 75% of these earnings numbers have been better than expected.
News: 19 February 2024
UK trend GDP is currently estimated to be 24% below its pre-GFC level. This equates to around £23,000 per household per year. 7% of this is a further leg down caused by covid. Both the GFC and covid were global issues, so why is the UK lagging?
News: 14 February 2024
News: 12 February 2024
China is about 25-30% of the MSCI Emerging Market index, so what happens in China is important for EM benchmarking. However, other emerging markets (EMs) have been getting more attention last year and going into this year, and rightfully so.
News: 05 February 2024
The number of permits issued each year is supposed to decline to ensure companies invest in finding greener solutions, but the government has bent the rules to allow more allowances than previously anticipated.
News: 29 January 2024
I'm guessing I’m not alone here, but the new year brought renewed vigour to my campaign to get a bit fitter and healthier. I’ve even joined a gym – not something I’ve done for a long time.
News: 22 January 2024
The market is still having trouble deciding what it thinks about rates and inflation. The S&P 500 hit an all-time high on Friday, job data out of the US was again stronger than expected last week and US consumer sentiment increased 13% in January. US consumers are the biggest drivers of the global economy.
News: 15 January 2024
News: 09 January 2024
But as I say, tis’ the season for looking ahead. So let’s start with the big picture. We know that from a policy rate and inflation perspective, 2024 will be very different to 2023. Inflation is receding and a succession of rate cuts is likely. That is clearly good news for almost all asset classes
News: 18 December 2023
We have to get the crystal ball out to think about the spirit of Christmas yet to come. Currently, our best guess of where we’ll be by this time next year is that we’ll have experienced a shallow recession. This will likely mean that we’ll see bank rates come down a bit which should act as a support for both bonds and equities.
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